🗳️ Swedish Election 2026
Live Intelligence Platform

Real-time monitoring · Coalition predictions · Systematic transparency

Election in: September 2026

Second Sunday in September (Date TBD)

349 MPs Monitored
8 Parties Analyzed
45 Risk Rules Active
50+ Years Historical Data
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Current Coalition: Tidö Agreement

Formation: October 2022 | Status: Active | Majority: 176 seats (of 349 total)

Moderates (M)

68 seats

Leader: Ulf Kristersson (Prime Minister)

Christian Democrats (KD)

19 seats

Leader: Ebba Busch

Sweden Democrats (SD)

73 seats

Leader: Jimmie Åkesson

Liberals (L) - Support

16 seats

Leader: Johan Pehrson

Coalition Stability Assessment

Majority Margin: 1 seat (narrow)

CIA Risk Assessment: 12 MAJOR alerts, 5 CRITICAL alerts detected (last 90 days)

Fragility Indicators: Ideological tensions between SD and L, vulnerable to defections

Stability Score: Moderate Risk (72%)

Comprehensive Intelligence Platform

CIA delivers systematic political transparency through 45 risk rules across 4 domains and 5 analytical frameworks.

🔍 Real-Time Monitoring

  • 349 MPs tracked automatically
  • 10,000+ votes analyzed annually
  • 20,000+ documents processed
  • Committee work quantified
  • Debate performance metrics

📊 Coalition Prediction

  • 4 election scenarios modeled
  • Historical pattern analysis (1971-2024)
  • Party discipline tracking
  • Defection probability estimation
  • Government formation simulation

✅ Fact-Checking Infrastructure

  • Politician claims vs. voting records
  • Party platform consistency analysis
  • Campaign promise tracking
  • Real-time debate verification
  • Historical accountability metrics

⚠️ Risk Assessment

  • 45 behavioral risk rules active
  • MINOR/MAJOR/CRITICAL severity levels
  • Automated alert system
  • Trend analysis for context
  • Transparent methodology

45 Risk Rules Across 4 Domains

  • Politician-Level (20 rules): Attendance, voting consistency, role conflicts, productivity
  • Party-Level (12 rules): Coalition discipline, ideological drift, internal conflicts
  • Committee-Level (8 rules): Legislative productivity, partisan deadlock, expert testimony
  • Ministry-Level (5 rules): Budget overruns, policy failures, accountability lapses

5 Analytical Frameworks

  • Temporal Analysis: Trend detection across time periods
  • Comparative Analysis: Cross-party/MP benchmarking
  • Pattern Recognition: Behavioral anomaly detection
  • Predictive Intelligence: Election outcome forecasting, coalition modeling
  • Network Analysis: Influence mapping, collaboration patterns

Election 2026 Monitoring Timeline

Phase 1: Pre-Campaign (Now - December 2025)

  • Historical baseline analysis (2022-2025)
  • Coalition stability tracking
  • MP behavioral pattern establishment
  • Pilot program participant selection

Phase 2: Campaign Period (January - August 2026)

  • Real-time MP activity monitoring
  • Party platform analysis
  • Coalition negotiation pattern detection
  • Debate performance quantification
  • Voter sentiment analysis

Phase 3: Election Day (September 2026)

  • Live results aggregation from Valmyndigheten
  • Instant coalition formation scenarios
  • Historical comparison with previous elections
  • Predictive modeling for government formation

Phase 4: Post-Election (October - December 2026)

  • Coalition stability assessment
  • Government formation prediction accuracy evaluation
  • Lessons learned documentation
  • International replication planning

Predictive Coalition Scenarios

Based on CIA's 45 risk rules and 50 years of historical data analysis

Scenario 1: The Fragmentation (40% probability)

SD breaks from Tidö coalition over policy dispute. Early warning detected 3 months before via voting pattern analysis.

  • Trigger: Immigration policy disagreement or EU integration stance
  • Outcome: Early election call, chaos, coalition realignment
  • CIA Detection: Voting discipline breakdown, defection signals

Scenario 2: The Silent Coalition (35% probability)

Social Democrats (S) + Moderates (M) secret negotiation post-election. Network analysis detects behind-the-scenes connections.

  • Trigger: Stalemate prevents traditional coalition formation
  • Outcome: Political earthquake, establishment parties merge, new center
  • CIA Detection: Committee cooperation patterns, voting convergence

Scenario 3: The Radical Shift (15% probability)

Left Party (V) + Center Party (C) unexpected alliance. Predictive modeling identifies policy overlap areas.

  • Trigger: Environmental/agricultural policy convergence
  • Outcome: Ideological realignment, horseshoe theory validated
  • CIA Detection: Cross-ideology committee work, voting pattern similarity

Scenario 4: The Status Quo (10% probability)

Tidö coalition survives and wins reelection. BUT: CIA detects 23 CRITICAL alerts ignored by mainstream analysis.

  • Trigger: Economic stability maintains voter confidence despite internal tensions
  • Outcome: Slow-motion collapse begins 2027, CIA validated retrospectively
  • CIA Detection: Accumulated risk indicators show underlying fragility

Swedish Election 2026 Pilot Program

Limited slots: 5 Swedish + 10 Global media organizations

🇸🇪 Swedish Media Organizations

€5,000/month (50% discount)

6 months (April - September 2026)

Features:

  • Full Enterprise API access (unlimited requests)
  • Swedish-specific risk rules and analytics
  • Integration with Swedish media CMS systems
  • Dedicated Swedish-speaking support engineer
  • White-label dashboards with organization branding
  • Election night live monitoring dashboard
  • Post-election analysis workshop (Stockholm-based)

Target: SVT, DN, SvD, Aftonbladet, Expressen

5 slots available

🌍 Global News Organizations

€7,500 total (75% discount)

3 months (July - September 2026)

Features:

  • Full Enterprise API access
  • Real-time election monitoring
  • Coalition prediction models
  • Dedicated integration support (40 hours)
  • Custom dashboard configuration
  • White-label branding options
  • Post-election analysis workshop (virtual)

Target: The Economist, FT, Reuters, Bloomberg, AP

10 slots available

How to Apply

  1. Contact: james.pether.sorling@hack23.com
  2. LinkedIn: Connect with James Pether Sörling, CEO
  3. Include: Organization name, team size, election coverage plans, API use case

Application Deadline: March 2026 (rolling acceptance until slots filled)

Early Bird Bonus: Apply before December 2025 for additional 10% first-year discount

Media Organization Use Cases

SVT (Swedish Public Television)

Use Case: Impartial comprehensive coverage with automated MP scorecards

  • Real-time performance dashboards for all 349 MPs
  • Automated fact-checking for live debates
  • Coalition stability meter for election night

Dagens Nyheter (DN)

Use Case: Investigative journalism with pattern detection

  • Anomaly detection for hidden conflicts of interest
  • Historical voting pattern analysis
  • Deep-dive data for investigative reports

The Economist

Use Case: Comparative democracy analysis for global audience

  • Swedish election as Nordic democracy case study
  • Coalition prediction models for international readers
  • Comparative analysis with other parliaments

Reuters

Use Case: 24/7 automated parliamentary monitoring

  • Real-time API integration for breaking news
  • Automated alerts for significant political events
  • Historical data for context in news stories

Technical Specifications

API Access

  • Architecture: RESTful API
  • Authentication: OAuth 2.0
  • Rate Limits: Unlimited for pilot participants
  • Response Time: <200ms (P95)
  • Uptime SLA: 99.9%
  • Documentation: OpenAPI/Swagger specification

Dashboard Features

  • Real-time Monitoring: Vote results, turnout, projections
  • Coalition Stability Meter: Live risk score updates
  • MP Scorecards: Attendance, voting patterns, productivity
  • Custom Alerts: Email, SMS, Slack integration
  • Export Capabilities: PDF, Excel, PowerPoint
  • White-label Branding: Enterprise tier customization

Data Coverage

  • MPs: All 349 members of Riksdag
  • Historical Data: 1971-2024 (50+ years)
  • Votes: 10,000+ annually
  • Documents: 20,000+ processed annually
  • Update Frequency: Real-time for votes, daily for documents

Join the Intelligence Revolution

Swedish Election 2026: Prove the power of systematic political transparency

Apply Now View Full Business Case Explore Platform (GitHub)

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